MLB World Series Odds: Why September Matters to Pay Per Head Agents
September is the month when online bookie agents discover how big World Series future betting can become. Most casual World Series future bettors should dump on the name teams, or bet on their favorite team.
That’s not the case with pro bettors.
Professional bettors are going to study stats before making any MLB Playoff bets, World Series bets, or World Series future bets.
One of the most powerful stats available is about September winning percentages and how that translates to World Series glory.
5 MLB Teams Since 2010 With 63% Win or Higher
63% Chicago Cubs, 2016
64% Boston Red Sox, 2013
70.4% San Francisco Giants, 2012
69.2% St. Louis Cardinals, 2011
69.2% San Francisco Giants, 2010
The teams above all posted a winning percentage of 63% or higher in the month of September before winning the World Series.
The Cubs, Red Sox, Giants, Cardinals, and Giants in 2010 all had something in common. Mainly, excellent starting rotations.
The Cubs boasted Jake Arrieta and Jon Lester last season. Lester headed up Boston’s starting rotation in 2013.
Barry Zito, Madison Bumgarner, and Ryan Vogelsong were a part of the 2012 San Francisco Giants’ rotation.
Adam Wainwright headed up the Cardinals’ starting rotation in 2011. Tim Lincecum was unhittable for the Giants in 2010.
This season, Cleveland, who just won 22 games in a row, have Corey Kluber. Kluber is easily the best pitcher in the American League this season. Also, Cleveland’s bullpen is ranked first in MLB in ERA.
2 MLB Teams Since 2010 With 52% Win or Lower
39.3% Kansas City Royals, 2015
52% San Francisco Giants, 2014
Only 2 MLB Teams have won the World Series since 2010 with September winning percentages at 52% or lower. The Kansas City Royals posted a terrible 39.3% winning percentage when taking the Fall Classic in 2015.
How did the Royals win the World Series in 2015? They had the best bullpen in all of baseball. It wasn’t even close. Per head agents around at that time remember live betting on KC.
Even if the New York Mets got a lead before the 6th inning, live bets flowed onto KC once the Mets took their starting pitcher from the game.
San Francisco won in 2014 because Kansas City batters couldn’t stay away from Madison Bumgarner’s high fastball.
In Game 7, Bumgarner, who had won Game 1 and Game 5, got the save in Game 7. The Royals couldn’t hit off MadBum in the 2015 World Series.
Are there any teams in MLB this season that’s going to have a winning percentage less than 52% that can win the World Series? There is.
As of September 19, the L.A. Dodgers are 5 and 14 straight up in September. The Dodgers, though, have the requisite bullpen and starting rotation to win the World Series.
The bullpen has a 3.44 ERA. That ranks 4th in MLB. The starting rotation is led by the great Clayton Kershaw.
Yu Darvish can throw heat while it’s difficult for opposing teams to score runs at Chavez-Ravine.
Up until Cleveland’s 22 game winning streak, the Dodgers were the lockdown favorites at +275 to win the 2017 World Series.
Online bookie agents should take note:
L.A. is no joke. What agents must do is set max betting limits on all World Series contenders.
This includes the L.A. Dodgers who might, like KC and SF, win the World Series with a less than 52% winning percentage in September.
PayPerHead.com can help online bookies be ready for all the action.